How Will the 2024 US Midterm Elections Impact the Stock Market?

Historical Market Reactions to Midterm Elections

Understanding the historical market reactions to midterm elections is crucial for forecasting potential impacts during the 2024 cycle. Historically,

midterm elections have had a notable influence on the stock market, often marked by increased

volatility and shifts in market sentiment. For instance, a statistical analysis of the S&P 500 index from 1946 to 2018 reveals

an average increase of approximately 16.4% in the 12 months following midterm elections. This pattern suggests a tendency for the market to rally post-elections,

possibly due to the resolution of political uncertainties that typically accompany election periods.

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